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Table of Contents

  1. Introduction: AIACC: Climate Change and Conservation Planning
    1. Chapter1: Evidence for climate change
      1. Chapter 2: Global circulation models
        1. Chapter 4: Biodiversity responses to past changes in climate
          1. Chapter 5: Adaptation of biodiversity to climate change
            1. Chapter 6: Approaches to niche-based modelling
              1. Chapter 7: Ecosystem function modelling
                1. Chapter 8: Climate change implications for conservation planning
                  1. Slide 1: Climate change implications
                  2. Slide 2:Conservation planning
                  3. Slide 3:The process of conservation planning
                  4. Slide 4: Conservation planning
                  5. Slide 5 : Climate change
                  6. Slide 6: Climate change affects future species distributions
                  7. Slide 7: Future conservation planning
                  8. Slide 8: Needs
                  9. Slide 9: Currently
                  10. Slide 10: Framework for climate change-integrated conservation strategies (CCS)
                  11. Slide 11: TIER 1 CCS 1 - Areas of stability/resilience
                  12. Slide 12: Projected future change in biomes
                  13. Slide 13: CCS 1 - Areas of stability/resilience
                  14. Slide 14: TIER 2 CCS 2 - Areas of current & future conservation value
                  15. Slide 15: Conservation value
                  16. Slide 16: Conservation value
                  17. Slide 17: CCS 2 - Areas of conservation value
                  18. Slide 18: CCS 3 - Species dispersal
                  19. Slide 19: Tier 3 CCS3 - Bioclimatic & Dispersal Time Slice modelling
                  20. Slide 20: Tier 3 CCS3 - Bioclimatic & Dispersal Time Slice modelling
                  21. Slide 21: Tier 3 CCS3 - Bioclimatic & Dispersal Time Slice modelling
                  22. Slide 22: Tier 3 CCS3 - Bioclimatic & Dispersal Time Slice modelling
                  23. Slide 23: Tier 3 CCS3 - Bioclimatic & Dispersal Time Slice modelling
                  24. Slide 24: Tier 3 CCS3 - Bioclimatic & Dispersal Time Slice modelling
                  25. Slide 25: CCS 3 - Species dispersal
                  26. Slide 26: Test yourself
                  27. Slide 27: Links to other chapters
                2. Chapter 9: The economic costs of conservation response options for climate change
                  1. Course Resources
                    1. Practical: Conservation for Climate Change
                      1. Tests to Assess your Understanding
                        1. How to run a GAM model in R

                          Slide 6: Climate change affects future species distributions

                          Duration: 00:00:35

                          Notes:

                          Additionally this work on the distribution of species in South Africa shows how the current and future plant diversity and distributions of the country will differ significantly, and thus a conservation plan based exclusively on current information will not cater for what the future holds. The blank spots on the future distribution do not mean necessarily that the northern areas of the country will rapidly become desert, but rather that the species distribution in these areas is likely to be dominated by weedy species, fast-spreading adapted aliens, and small numbers of the extant species that are existing in a marginal habitat.