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Slide 8: Future climate-influenced distribution

Duration: 00:00:33


You will then import the future climatic conditions into R. These are the modelled conditions for 2050 under the IPCC A2 climate change scenario, as projected by the Hadley Centre HadCM3 model. You will incorporate them into the best performing model, as decided by the ROC, and you will then run the same GAM using the future climatic conditions. This is termed future scenario modelling, and will provide you with an estimate of the optimal habitat for your study species under the conditions of changed climate.