Slide 5: Bringing together conservation planning and climate research
The fact that anthropogenic influences are causing global warming has evolved from being a hypothesis to a generally accepted reality, though there is still extensive disagreement around the magnitude of the predicted change. From a biodiversity perspective, there are rapid advances in both strategic conservation planning and the understanding of distributional spreads of species through climatic envelope modelling. Combining forecasts of climate change with dynamic species movement modules, allows us to start considering the conservation strategies that would be needed to conserve biodiversity in a climatically changed future. Before considering options for this future, it is useful for us to consider what factors led to the distribution of current conservation areas. Current conservation strategies are by no means maximized solutions to conserve current biodiversity, let alone the biodiversity that will be found in a changed climate.